Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.408886 0.532749 0.667760 0.823762 0.997163 1.182344 1.393494
2025-03-23 0.239078 0.400978 0.597925 0.844602 1.136630 1.464286 1.853357
2025-03-30 0.150473 0.320026 0.546366 0.846971 1.217781 1.646368 2.167068
2025-04-06 0.085046 0.247090 0.488249 0.828178 1.263841 1.780653 2.420705
2025-04-13 0.057587 0.220530 0.484566 0.872284 1.381495 1.995215 2.763950
2025-04-20 0.038255 0.199486 0.483717 0.916537 1.496796 2.205238 3.100672
2025-04-27 0.025557 0.185199 0.489655 0.967714 1.619332 2.423003 3.445900
2025-05-04 0.020078 0.185623 0.518064 1.049871 1.781838 2.689892 3.850236
2025-05-11 0.012425 0.173863 0.523840 1.098223 1.899132 2.900367 4.186397
2025-05-18 0.004738 0.150497 0.505574 1.109095 1.965122 3.045876 4.443162
2025-05-25 0.000015 0.108618 0.444656 1.050920 1.934675 3.067672 4.547200
2025-06-01 NaN 0.073116 0.385084 0.988222 1.893486 3.072492 4.627623
2025-06-08 NaN 0.050358 0.346607 0.958336 1.900303 3.143537 4.797041
2025-06-15 NaN 0.041481 0.340002 0.981029 1.982312 3.313415 5.091662
2025-06-22 NaN 0.030709 0.323003 0.983558 2.033747 3.442144 5.333679
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018967 0.294795 0.963221 2.050145 3.523741 5.515767
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017457 0.303941 1.010946 2.167047 3.738581 5.866339
2025-07-13 NaN 0.016106 0.313168 1.058747 2.284129 3.953823 6.217675
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015652 0.326279 1.113925 2.412382 4.184158 6.588431
2025-07-27 NaN 0.018747 0.356736 1.202304 2.590684 4.481620 7.044761
2025-08-03 NaN 0.017877 0.368011 1.254210 2.714345 4.706234 7.408793
2025-08-10 NaN 0.013235 0.358495 1.265872 2.777271 4.849539 7.669509
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004680 0.312593 1.203432 2.726194 4.838674 7.732991